Future Foundation
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$84 million total on a $30-something million budget ain't bad.
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Wkd BO 0205-0716 - no Chinese or Martians = FAIL, Caesar! 4 Coens, TFA hits 2B WW
- Thread starter xaosslug
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$84 million total on a $30-something million budget ain't bad.
It's Valentine's day weekend and How to be Single is coming out in 3200 theatres. It will make much more than the $5M required to top Star Wars this weekend. Boxoffice.com's projection from last Friday was $20M during the 4-day.
Deadpool, Zoolander, How to be Single, and Kung Fu Panda 3 will be the top 4. Hail, Caesar!, TFA, and The Revenant will have to fight it out for the remaining top 5 spot. Hail, Caesar! will likely grab that spot if it's drop is 50% or less.
EDIT: Star Wars is still in my local IMAX. I am not sure how common that is elsewhere in North America, but all of those theatres are going to Deadpool as of Thursday night.
So with Deadpool's obvious success, and Fifty Shades last year, I suppose this weekend is well established as a good weekend for movie releases.
Kung Fu Panda 3 passed $120M in China. However, the real story is the fact that Stephen Chow's latest film, The Mermaid, has been out for 5 days and has already made around $190M in China. It will more than likely be China's first film to $400M, and possibly the first to $500M.
Kung Fu Panda 3 passed $120M in China. However, the real story is the fact that Stephen Chow's latest film, The Mermaid, has been out for 5 days and has already made around $190M in China. It will more than likely be China's first film to $400M, and possibly the first to $500M.
IIRC, Chow has broken a lot of records over his career, some of them his own. He's practically the Hong Kong equivalent of Spielberg.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
They shoulda got Chow to direct Episode 9.
Ya, Journey to the West was the first local film to hit $200M in China 3 years ago, and a few of his films held records in Hong Kong. However, the Chinese Box Office is now large enough that we are seeing grosses that would be impressive for a domestic movie. $190M in 5 days would have been a domestic record until the Dark Knight came out.
At this rate, we will see a movie in China beat TFA's $925M+ single territory gross before we see another domestic film do the same.
BronsonLee
Member
It would be better than whatever we are about to get out of Trevorrow.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
The director of Seven Years in Tibet has already made a Chinese film in China last year.
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2909116/?ref_=nm_flmg_dr_1
Edit: And no, Brad Pitt is no longer banned in China. Fury was shown there and did pretty well.
because anyone who saw the movie in America is a progressist. And this is only one of the logical fallacies I found in your godawful post
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Well another possible disappointment for Paramount following Bayghazi - Zoolander 2 underperforming.
On the bright side, Deadpool is looking to be a home run.
http://deadline.com/2016/02/deadpoo...gle-valentines-weekend-box-office-1201699895/
On the bright side, Deadpool is looking to be a home run.
http://deadline.com/2016/02/deadpoo...gle-valentines-weekend-box-office-1201699895/
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Deadline's probably overestimating a little, although I saw Variety tweet "Deadpool to score 100 mil" and then reported a Friday number of just over 30 mil including the Thursday previews.
So I dunno.
So I dunno.
I would be so OK with that. He can definitely do big fantasy action films.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Deadline's always been pretty bullish in their projections, true.
But honestly, a 4-day gross of $100+ million for Deadpool, I didn't see that coming, I thought it would have an opening weekend closer to the original F4. Big success for FOX.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Yeah, I wasn't really being flip. I mean, yeah, from a solely mercenary standpoint it would be a good call for China box-office, but I like Chow's movies, and I think setting him loose on Star Wars with a 200 million dollar budget would be fucking fun as hell.
+1.5M people have already seen Creed in France even though the movie didn't get any marketing push and had to rely on WOM. It beat last Rocky's numbers.
Any non-blockbuster movie with 1M+ entries in France is considered a success.
Stop making dumb posts.
Yeah, Chow on SW would mean a fun as fuck Star Wars flick at the very least. So i wouldn't be against it.
Matt_
World's #1 One Direction Fan: Everyone else in the room can see it, everyone else but you~~~
It was stupid to open three comedys on one weekend but even so I'm a little surprised that Zoolander is doing so badly
Great news for Deadpool of course. Hope the weekend isnt too frontloaded
can't wait to see it tuesday
Great news for Deadpool of course. Hope the weekend isnt too frontloaded
can't wait to see it tuesday
Did Anchorman 2 or Dumb & Dumber Too perform that well anyway? I don't seem to remember and those would definitely be "bigger" comedies popularity wise.
I don't know about you guys, but after most very late sequels to comedies turning out horrendous while Ben Stiller not exactly being much of a draw lately could have easily contributed to nobody giving much of a shit. As anecdotal as this statement will be, I don't think I've seen as much talk or "excitement" for 2oolander as much as I have the other two cash grabs I mentioned.
Chow would maybe work if you wanted a maybe good version of the prequels in terms of style, but would be a horrible fit for the nostalgia chasing "return to form" the new trilogy wants to be. Chow's style isn't grounded at all and he abuses the shit out of cg with no consideration for quality of effects. It's understandable for the industry he works in tho.
Rth is saying $48M on Friday, which would be close to $35M without previews. If that holds up $100M in 3 days will basically be impossible to miss.
For those interested in numbers that aren't Deadpool focused:
Friday Studio Estimates:
1) Deadpool - $47.5M
2) How to be Single - $5.25M
3) Zoolander 2 - $4.2M
4) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $3.9M - $78M total
5) Hail, Caesar! - $1.5M - $16M total
6) The Revenant - $1.3M - $153M total
7) Star Wars The Force Awakens - $1.2M - $910M total
- Zoolander will finish the weekend in 4th place.
- The Revenant will pass Fury Road this weekend to claim the #20 spot in 2015's domestic top 20.
- It's hard to call #5 for this weekend right now, as I expect Star Wars to have better gains today, and Sunday is a bit of a wildcard with Valentines Day. Star Wars might hang on to one more Top 5 finish.
Friday Studio Estimates:
1) Deadpool - $47.5M
2) How to be Single - $5.25M
3) Zoolander 2 - $4.2M
4) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $3.9M - $78M total
5) Hail, Caesar! - $1.5M - $16M total
6) The Revenant - $1.3M - $153M total
7) Star Wars The Force Awakens - $1.2M - $910M total
- Zoolander will finish the weekend in 4th place.
- The Revenant will pass Fury Road this weekend to claim the #20 spot in 2015's domestic top 20.
- It's hard to call #5 for this weekend right now, as I expect Star Wars to have better gains today, and Sunday is a bit of a wildcard with Valentines Day. Star Wars might hang on to one more Top 5 finish.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I dunno, I bet it misses the top 5. Lost quite a few screens and I'm wondering if the repeat viewers that apparently make up a fairly large chunk of its audience have finally moved off to the brighter, shinier distractions.
Also, like I said over in the Deadpool thread: We didn't even have to wait til March for the game to get good. 2016 is gonna be nuts.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Betting against Deadpool isn't the worst of bets. People are acting like success on this level was some sort of foregone conclusion instead of the big surprise it actually is. A comedic R-Rated X-Men spinoff starring Ryan Reynolds? Why not pit your star-studded PG-13 comedy against that for Valentine's Day?
Ignatz Mouse
Banned
Shame that Hail Caesar did poorly, it was great.
Pretty good I think. X-Men Origins legs for Deadpool is still going to be $230Mish by this point, which is basically a top end gross for an X-Film.
Deadpool will need poor legs, and/or Apocalypse will have to out gross the previous X-Films domestically.
Have any of these 15-30 year later direct sequels to comedies people liked at one point done particularly well? We're talking about the sequel to a film that originally made $45M domestic, but was pretty popular on DVD in the early 2000s.
I feel like they both go after the same audience. There is absolutely no need to compete. There's plenty of weekends out there with ZERO competition. Even if they expected Deadpool to do poorly, why risk going up against a Marvel comic book adaptation? Those films are basically the kings of the box office at this point.
Zoolander 2 is no 50 Shades. It doesn't need to be a Valentines weekend release.
Probably a lock since Apocalypse has immediate competition from Alice Through the Looking Glass and TMNT a week later.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I don't think they do at all. The audience for Zoolander doesn't read as one that cannibalizes the audience for X-Men.
A violent/crude action comedy versus a silly/goofy spoof movie.
It wasn't the worst of bets.
Honestly, the bigger question would be why go back to the Zoolander well in the first place.
Trailers were bad, user reviews seem bad. Just seems bad all around.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Well damn. Deadpool cleaning house. Much bigger than I expected it to be. I was thinking maybe $150m final domestic, but it will be there real fast after this weekend. Insane.
Get ready for a flood of newcomers or lurkers in next week's thread. And many trying to do crow threads or posts.
Maybe the title can play on two words that Bobby hates. "Deadpool is no jobber, as Zoolander bombas!"
Get ready for a flood of newcomers or lurkers in next week's thread. And many trying to do crow threads or posts.
Maybe the title can play on two words that Bobby hates. "Deadpool is no jobber, as Zoolander bombas!"
There's a comedy with more positive buzz and better marketing. Being a sequel 15(?) years after the original probably hurt though.
anecdotal evidence, but all of my 25 year old male friends want to watch both, and every single one chose deadpool over zoolander this weekend (with the exception of myself and one other friend who watched both).
again, I still don't understand why you would choose to go up against a marvel movie when you could easily... NOT go up against a marvel movie.
I would wait until we have more than 1 data point to call it a lock.
Deadpool would need the shittiest legs ever to not pass DofP.
So it basically comes down to how you think Apocalypse will do in comparison to DofP.
Go big or go home friend.
Deadpool isn't going to collapse with virtually no competition and positive word of mouth and X-Men isn't going to blow up in the most stacked period of the year with relatively little hype behind it.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
It might be worth looking at Kingsman's legs from last year for an idea of how Deadpool will play out for the rest of February/March.
Kingsman had fairly good legs. Deadpool would hit 300M with legs approaching Kingsman.
Deadpool becomes Iron Man in the FOX universe. He will carry the other slackers to new heights.
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