GribbleGrunger
Dreams in Digital
The numbers in OP lacks some quarters... it is around 1.3b software sales already (at least 100% over 1.2b).
So more one or two quarters will make it over PS2 software sales.
At that point it is 100% certain unless the world ends before it .
I think it's likely part of the reason Sony decided to release TLOU2 sooner. Take advantage of the lockdown which will hopefully offset the negativity currently circulating about the game.