Nintendo Switch +77% YoY in Oct 2020 vs Oct 2019
FIFA 21 was unsurprisingly the biggest game across Europe, Middle East, parts of Asia and Africa during October, accord…
www.gamesindustry.biz
Wow, I didn't know there were public numbers for EMEAA. Thanks for sharing!
Regarding Switch sales, it says there has been a decrease instead a 77%YoY: "In terms of games hardware, just under 750,000 games consoles were sold across the EMEAA region. That is a drop on the 795,000 consoles sold during October 2019 "
Playstation 4 is already in a capitulation mode and it will be in much worse condition after PS5 launching date.
No. PS4 crossed its peak year but it's far away of a 'capitulation mode' looking at this graph, because this false graph is misleading for two big reasons.
This graph only includes the PS5 sales of the first half of it's 8th fiscal year -the current one-, and if you see it without knowing it, it looks like as if it stopped selling this current year. Which is false, because once you add there the future sales of Q3 and Q4 it will continue outselling PS2 and every other console in gaming history. It only needs 2.6M to do it, which is quite easy to achieve.
The graph also stops including the PS2 numbers on its 8th year to don't make Wii and PS1 too bad. The PS2 graph continues reaching over 155M on its 12th year. And PS4 is outselling it on the 8th year.
Nintendo Switch is projected to have a record breaking Q3 which is around 12M-14M shipments.
No, Nintendo until a few weeks ago expected to sell this 4thFY exactly the same PS4 sold this year, 19M. So expected to sell around 9M in Q3. Now they expect to sell 5M more, which is the extra sales they had compared during Q1+Q2 increased to what PS4 had that same 4thFY.
This means Nintendo had a scheduled number of units to be produced and shipped this FY and due to sales bump brought them forward, and will produce 5M more, which is a lot. It's something very rare specially when unexpected, it's a big effort. Let's say they can increase their production into 7M instead of 5M. That would be crazy. And if they do it and put it for Q3, it would be 11M. But I think it's more realistic to expect 9-10M for Q3.
NSW is going to extend the lead much further in launch aligned data
I think it's possible that they may increase it in Q3 but after that will go back to sell the same PS4 did back in the same launch aligned FY as it did outside this covid-related bump. The unexpected peak during Q1 and Q2 was unexpected even by Nintendo, happened due to covid and shouldn't last way more.
Switch is projected to sell around 150M while PS4 will struggle to cross 125M
This 'projection' is an unrealistic fan wish based on nothing.
Switch would sell around 150M if it would be in the market during 12 years as PS2 did, or at least 10+ as the other PS home consoles did. But it won't be the case. Most Nintendo/MS home consoles last around 6 years, and portables around 8FY, as Wii did. I expect it to last 8FY and to sell around 140M.
Sony said they will continue supporting PS4 for at least 2 or 3 years with some crossgen games. 3 years would be its 11th FY, so it's fair to think they expect it to last 12FY years, like PS2. This time they have digital games, a great BC in its successor, PS Plus, PS Now, services like Netflix and so on that will provide them extra revenue, the indie games that can be crossgen for longer, it's priced still at $300 and there are even more things that will help it last longer.
So PS4 is going to outsell PS2 afther its current 8th fiscal year and has all these things that will help it to have more legs compared to what PS2 had back then, so can continue doing it for at least 2 or 3 years. This means PS4 will outsell PS2 at the end of its lifetime with at least almost 160M.
I think it's dump to compare a stationary console with a freaking handheld.
You can think whatever you want, but Switch is both a home console and a portable. So it can be compared both to a portable or to a home console.
In fact, as seen in the table posted above, outside the extra quarter PS4 had at launch, and the recent Switch Q1 and Q2 that experienced the covid bump, PS4 and Switch sold the same until now. And Nintendo expected to sell 19M this 4th FY, which is exactly what PS4 sold its 4th FY. They increased their prediction in 5M after seeing they sold in Q1+Q2 of their 4thFY 5M more than PS4 sold in its 4thFY Q1+Q2.