I did not use it as ammo or to criticise other strategies beyond the way the context and facts allow nor I think that many people did either (but I do not keep track of every single fan of every console)... and it turns out that they were right.
What you call spinning (trying to to hand wave it away and go for a lolz one liner reply) was merely answering your point and explaining the reasoning behind it and comparing the predicted strategies... which you admit ended up being kind of correct.
Things still turned out the way they did still, they did on MS side because well they told you so and because on the Sony side there was precedent, well founded hope for BC support on PS5, and what Sony was saying.
Context, historical precedent of only about 25+ years, official announcement by MS... informed the criticism of their stance and their exclusives offering at or near launch. Are you saying you do not use past data and context to say/criticise/comment anything ever... and do you really expect me to believe that
?