I think the Covid excuse is poor and it's just fans trying to shift blame away from MS. Not because I'm a monster and think covid has had no impact on development but because we were in mid 2021 when they committed to a 2022 release date. Are the project managers at Bethesda/MS that damn incompetent that they didn't know how Covid-19 (November) had effected development in mid 2021? If your game had been delayed from a date you had commited to in 2020 then sure I can see that as a valid excuse. Not when you commit to a date in mid 2021 when the impact of covid was fully known and the pandemic actually slowly declining.I would say to expect more delays in the short term due to Covid-19 delaying production, and further delays due to the ongoing supply chain shortage.
There were many aspects of game development that either could not be done, or required significant adaptation to work from home models. Anything that required people to be in close proximity for several hours, was more or less a no-go for most of 2020 and parts of 2021. Motion capture, voice acting and music production just weren't possible in work from home environments. We've already seen impacts of this in the film industry, and when shooting did resume there were heavy regulations put in place.
The main worry for software houses moving forward I think, will be supply chain shortages. Getting the hardware needed for studios to build titles will be an ongoing issue, as old hardware becomes obsolete / fails or as studios expand and require new hardware for employees. That's not forecast to ease until 2024, and even then I expect it to go on longer.
Disappointing to see games get delayed, but it is what it is.
I think it's as you say. They don't want to release the next gen only games in 2022 due to the impact of the supply chain shortages. We actually had a supply thread in late 2021
"Xbox boss Phil Spencer says console supply issues will continue into 2022"
where somebody made that comment about "crossgen until 2023" which was right on the nail and I was sure some of these games would get delayed:
... 2022 is baron for next gen only games so "crossgen until 2023" is accurate. We have what Forespoken for PS5 and Redfall + Starfield for Series X. I'm sure some of those would be delayed too.