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Scorpio presentation pictured within AMD's Vega/Ryzen booth

foxbeldin

Member
1.8 TF will be eaten going to higher resolutions than PRO. Native 4K is demanding as hell

I wish Scorpio would use CBR and keep it's GPU power to achieve better graphics.
Resolution isn't everything, and if they set it at the same level as the pro, it will absolutely look better, but if they insist on doing 4k, it might fall short.

I'm afraid that the whole 4K marketing will just lead to stuff like Halo 5 hitting 60fps at the expense of everything else.

Best scenario would be giving people choices, like in ROTRR Pro.
 
Jaguar is 4 years old tech
Puma is 3 years old tech
Excavator is 1 year old tech
Zen is current year tech


xb1 and ps4 launched late in 2013 with jaguar cpu cores, that got released in mid 2013

This is pretty self explanatory. Zen is a brand new architecture. Jaguar wasn't, it was basically just an improved Bobcat (6 year old tech).

Carrazio apus based on excavator cores are used in laptops, too with either max 15 or 35 watt tpd

Yeah, so? That doesn't change the fact that their desktop APUs are not suited for the consoles Sony and Microsoft want to build. There were 17W and 35W Richland APUs back in 2013, Microsoft and Sony still went with Jaguar over it. You're putting way too much emphasis on wattage and not enough on die size.
 
Well, I was at E3 last year and face to face with a very senior Xbox exec that looked me right in the eyes and said with a smile "Stay tuned, we aren't holding back" specifically about Zen. There was no ambiguity. We were discussing AMD Zen, with others there to witness it.

Are you going to feel stupid if you're proven right but the damn thing costs $700?
 

ethomaz

Banned
He is right.

I remember when the specs for Xbox one were announced, everyone was calling it dead in the water compared to the PS4 because of .500 Tflops difference.

Funny how things change.
I remember PS4 being 40% stronger and CHEAPER releasing together. Scorpio will be 40% stronger and EXPENSIVE a year late.

The calling dead MS was because it was $100 expensive for a inferior hardware compared with PS4.... how do you sell that???
 

Space_nut

Member
He is right.


I remember PS4 being 40% stronger and CHEAPER releasing together. Scorpio will be 40% stronger and EXPENSIVE a year late.

The calling dead MS was because it was $100 expensive for a inferior hardware compared with PS4.... how do you sell that???

How do you know the price? Magic 8 ball
 
If it ended up with Jaguar and 6TF GPU, it really isn't that much more powerful than PRO. Similar power difference between PS4 and X1.

The only problem with this is Shinobi said dev kits aren't even out yet and wont be out until Feb/March most likely.

So is there some slide out there that is detailing all of what Scorpio has already? Nah i dont think so - due to the fact many developers were also surprised by the announcement of Scorpio at e3. As in that was the first time they heard of it too.

So the speculation should still be out there. Just not some outlandish claim on either end. I cant wait to see what the final spec is and what it will do for my current and future library! :)
 
The only problem with this is Shinobi said dev kits aren't even out yet and wont be out until Feb/March most likely.

So is there some slide out there that is detailing all of what Scorpio has already? Nah i dont think so - due to the fact many developers were also surprised by the announcement of Scorpio at e3. As in that was the first time they heard of it too.

So the speculation should still be out there. Just not some outlandish claim on either end. I cant wait to see what the final spec is and what it will do for my current and future library! :)

This is it.

NF2oY5Z.jpg
 

op_ivy

Fallen Xbot (cannot continue gaining levels in this class)
no. already 1/5 of all tvs sold in the us last year were 4k
https://twitter.com/npdtech/status/817165043108298752

this number will likely grow close to 50% this year. the huge 4k hype happened just in late 2016. and 4k still managed 19% share for the full year

I wasnt referring to 4k tv marketshare when i said "more bang for the buck", but rather a games graphical bells and whistles. Im sure im not alone in thinking that using 6tf of power to make 4k xbox1 games is a bit of a joke.
 

E92 M3

Member
Yeah, I've been saying $399 for a while. Anything more and it's suddenly not attractive enough when compared to the competition.
 

vpance

Member
It's going to be $399. I'm almost certain. There is no way MS is going above $399 unless this is aiming for relatively non-existent levels of market share.

Yeah, I've been saying $399 for a while. Anything more and it's suddenly not attractive enough when compared to the competition.

The return of subsidized consoles then? Can't see it costing any less than $450 to manufacture.
 
The return of subsidized consoles then? Can't see it costing any less than $450 to manufacture.

I think that if MS has to take a loss on it, they will. Because while I'm sure they would like to make a profit on each sold, I also think they want to be able to sell the console to make it somewhat of a success.

And MS is going second, so they have data from the Pro launch available. They know what kind of market is out there for these sorts of upgrades and they also know that they are far more limited in actual markets vs. Sony. And unfortunately for them, one of their main markets (or even two really) is extremely price sensitive.

It's going to be $399 or lower.
 
Of course I know that. So do you know, that most people don't upgrade their home console every year either?
Or even every couple years. And the slow uptake of PS4 Pro is one result, and should be very worrying to Microsoft. Scorpio may well grab the eye of those early tech adopters you mentioned. But that's a niche group, yet somehow people seem to think it'll also somehow boost the Xbox market as a whole. For most consumers, Scorpio will simply be the most expensive console on the market.
 
you know what i mean by me saying "all". :p And you knew i was implying another slide pointed to devs, not the public who visit xbox.com.

I'm not the biggest tech guy but we know it's going to be 6 teraflops and use AMD . Isnt that enough for devs to build a test rig and start testing games ? Just curious
 
This is pretty self explanatory. Zen is a brand new architecture. Jaguar wasn't, it was basically just an improved Bobcat (6 year old tech).



Yeah, so? That doesn't change the fact that their desktop APUs are not suited for the consoles Sony and Microsoft want to build. There were 17W and 35W Richland APUs back in 2013, Microsoft and Sony still went with Jaguar over it. You're putting way too much emphasis on wattage and not enough on die size.

xbox one soc 363mm cpu cores about ~ 1/6 of diesize
XB1SOC-2.jpg


carrazio soc ~250mm cpu cores about 1/5 of diesize (4 cores only, tho)
19-1080.3904758700.jpg


die size is no problem at all.

here is a real dieshot of the kaveri apu (predecessor of carazzio). pretty similar design, but i don't think there are real die shots of carrazio out there
DieShot%20-%20Kaveri%20Main.png




I wasnt referring to 4k tv marketshare when i said "more bang for the buck", but rather a games graphical bells and whistles. Im sure im not alone in thinking that using 6tf of power to make 4k xbox1 games is a bit of a joke.
yeah that should developers adress. give options for either 4k or 1080p high fidelity. maybe even a third high FPS option.
but from a marketing and technology standpoint for microsoft and sony, 4k is the right horse to bet on :)
 
I'm not the biggest tech guy but we know it's going to be 6 teraflops and use AMD . Isnt that enough for devs to build a test rig and start testing games ? Just curious

From my understanding, we need more information like what type of chips will be on the board, what size the cpu/gpu will be, what architecture and more like the above post detailing the board of the xbox one.

some could try to build a rig to 'mimic' a potential 6tf gpu rig, but we still need more information regarding the exact RAM and the exact type of performance the cpu will provide.

the tech folks could chime in more and provide the exact details they need in order to replicate something near project scorpio.

So far they only have 6TF of GPU power, 8 CPU cores and memory bandwidth of 320/gbps
 

johnny956

Member
What if its $399, will you cry? Now that would be a meme I would like to see :)

If it's $399 I doubt the Pro will stay at $399 so most likely it'll always be the most expensive console unless MS decides to eat the cost on it. I don't see that happening as bundles are the new "discount". Way cheaper then discounting hardware and still increases value
 
Yes? It's all about relative differences. The differnce between PS4 and XB1 is 40%, the difference between PS4 pro and 6TB Scorpio is 43%

That leaves out a lot of important information while assuming that everything else is the same. Are you forgetting about the possible ram difference, which may be an additional 4GB on Scorpio compared to the Pro? There is the memory bandwidth differences between the two, and, unlike was the case between PS4 and XB1, Scorpio's GPU is expected to have a whole AMD graphics IP generation difference from what's in the PS4 Pro. The difference between Scorpio and PS4 Pro will, for all intents and purposes, be much bigger than was ever the case between PS4 and XB1.

The advantages that the PS4 had over the XB1 will simply not be like for like equivalent to the advantages Scorpio is expected to have over PS4 Pro, especially if Scorpio isn't packing Jaguar Scores and likely ends up with some form of Zen CPU.

Are you going to feel stupid if you're proven right but the damn thing costs $700?

No, I wouldn't. I'd still buy it, but I already know it won't cost anywhere near that much. Now, I pose a similar question. Will you feel stupid if I'm proven right, but the thing costs less than $550, which I'm betting everyone here it will. :)

It's going to sell for anything between $499 and $550. $569.99 would be the highest it goes.
 
When can we expect devkit leaks - March?

devkits should be out already - "pc devkits", that match the trageted specs

xbox scorpio will be a q4 release. so probably late october / early november just like ps4 pro
mass production has to start end of q3 in september
tape out for the finalized scorpio soc should be at the end of q1 or early q2, so around march / april this year
 

vpance

Member
I think that if MS has to take a loss on it, they will. Because while I'm sure they would like to make a profit on each sold, I also think they want to be able to sell the console to make it somewhat of a success.

And MS is going second, so they have data from the Pro launch available. They know what kind of market is out there for these sorts of upgrades and they also know that they are far more limited in actual markets vs. Sony. And unfortunately for them, one of their main markets (or even two really) is extremely price sensitive.

It's going to be $399 or lower.

It'll be tough. If the market for mid gen refresh consoles is as small as it seems to be, even for Sony, then taking a loss of $50 - $100 makes no sense.
 

Hoo-doo

Banned
It's going to be $399. I'm almost certain. There is no way MS is going above $399 unless this is aiming for relatively non-existent levels of market share.

Yup. They are not oblivious enough to go above 399, methinks. That's around the maximum pricepoint the current market will bear for a console. They aren't going to get caught with their pants down with a 499 box again anytime soon. They learned that lesson with the XB1, power be damned.

And I think they can realistically put out a 6TF box at that pricerange in late 2017. Sony will possibly have the PS4 Pro at around 299-329 by then, replacing the current model PS4 entirely.
 
It'll be tough. If the market for mid gen refresh consoles is as small as it seems to be, even for Sony, then taking a loss of $50 - $100 makes no sense.

Well, that's just the circumstances MS is in and there's not much they can do to make the situation into a "perfect" one as opposed to making the best of it.
 
If it's $399 I doubt the Pro will stay at $399 so most likely it'll always be the most expensive console unless MS decides to eat the cost on it. I don't see that happening as bundles are the new "discount". Way cheaper then discounting hardware and still increases value

I don't think there is anyway on this earth that the Pro doesn't get a discount ethier before or just as the Scorpio releases. Maybe down to $349 with a game packed in?

Scorpio will be the most expensive console on the market, will it represent value to core gamers, thats the question?
 

pswii60

Member
I don't think there is anyway on this earth that the Pro doesn't get a discount ethier before or just as the Scorpio releases. Maybe down to $349 with a game packed in?

Scorpio will be the most expensive console on the market, will it represent value to core gamers, thats the question?

If it wasn't for Pro, then Switch would likely be the most expensive console on the market at its launch. It's meaningless really, as you say, it's not about price, it's about value. And if Scorpio is basically just to Xbox One what Pro is to PS4, then we can see even Sony has already struggled to push its value proposition.
 

KageMaru

Member
Yup. They are not oblivious enough to go above 399, methinks. That's around the maximum pricepoint the current market will bear for a console. They aren't going to get caught with their pants down with a 499 box again anytime soon. They learned that lesson with the XB1, power be damned.

And I think they can realistically put out a 6TF box at that pricerange in late 2017. Sony will possibly have the PS4 Pro at around 299-329 by then, replacing the current model PS4 entirely.

I don't think MS is designing or marketing this for the price conscious consumers. They have the XBOS for those people. I also don't think they expect Scorpio to dramatically increase their market share.

IMO Scorpio will be an enthusiast machine at launch for people who are willing to spend 2-2.5x the price for 4x the performance.
 
I don't think there is anyway on this earth that the Pro doesn't get a discount ethier before or just as the Scorpio releases. Maybe down to $349 with a game packed in?

Scorpio will be the most expensive console on the market, will it represent value to core gamers, thats the question?

the thing is - Sony doesnt even need to have a price slash with how good they are already selling. They only reduced the price for the SLIM because of the PRO launching.

I dont think the scorpio scares them that much. They own world wide sales and a temporary $50 price cut would be enough for them during the holidays. doubt they even need it due to the strong loyalty and brand Sony has.
 

Hoo-doo

Banned
I don't think MS is designing or marketing this for the price conscious consumers. They have the XBOS for those people. I also don't think they expect Scorpio to dramatically increase their market share.

IMO Scorpio will be an enthusiast machine at launch for people who are willing to spend 2-2.5x the price for 4x the performance.

That's a fool's game. Keeping the Scorpio marketshare tiny like that by catering to a niche enthusiast crowd is a surefire way to have the hardware go underutilized by devs that will just keep catering their efforts to the vast majority of conventional XB1 devices. What would the incentive for the developers be? Sure we're all dreaming of a future where every game simply scales upwards to make use of additional hardware, but that's not happening with consoles anytime soon.

Paying more for 4x the performance sounds great on paper. But you realize you're still beholden to the developers who have to actually put in effort to make their games shine on an additional hardware setup that barely anyone will own.

Nah, I think they have to go mass-market and slowly phase out the old XB1, considering the Scorpio it's official replacement.
 

KageMaru

Member
That's a fool's game. Keeping the Scorpio marketshare tiny like that by catering to a niche enthusiast crowd is a surefire way to have the hardware go underutilized by devs that will just keep catering their efforts to the vast majority of conventional XB1 devices. What would the incentive for the developers be? Sure we're all dreaming of a future where every game simply scales upwards to make use of additional hardware, but that's not happening with consoles anytime soon.

Paying more for 4x the performance sounds great on paper. But you realize you're still beholden to the developers who have to actually put in effort to make their games shine on an additional hardware setup that barely anyone will own.

Nah, I think they have to go mass-market and slowly phase out the old XB1, considering the Scorpio it's official replacement.

The whole concept of a mid-life refresh console is niche. We can see this with the sales of the PS4 Pro even though it's priced at $399. Heck 4K and VR, both key features of Scorpio, are also niche.

The incentive for devs would be the same as it is for the Pro, it's a requirement. The whole point of the game mode tools with UWA is for games to scale between XBO, Scorpio, and PC. We already see games scale from XBO/PS4 to PC just fine. It's also already been confirmed that games now with dynamic resolutions or unlocked frame rates will take advantage of the scorpio's power without any additional work from the developers.

Barely anyone owns a Pro compared to the OG PS4 but it's receiving support just fine. Higher quality assets are already produced for the PC and can be used on these refreshed consoles.

Scorpio is not the official replacement of XBO, it's an additional option in the Xbox "family". XBOS/PS4 is for the mainstream while PS4 Pro/Scorpio are for the more core audience who care more about IQ and are typically the early adopters.

I do agree that the OG PS4/XBOS will be phased out but only once their true next gen consoles launch.
 
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