Japan's domestic market is dying. The japanese console industry depends on PlayStation (NA/EU) to survive.
Nintendo is always one step behind PlayStation , even when it comes to Japanese matters.
1. Q1 Software Sales (millions of units sold)
Total = 39.82 (C+SE+BN+S)
Japan = 4.82 (12.1%)
2.Capcom
Total = 13.30
Japan = 2.50 (18.8%)
3.Square Enix
Total = 9.88
Japan = 1.35 (13.7%)
4.Bandai Namco
Total = 10.06
Japan = 0.63 (6.3%)
5.Sega Sammy
Total = 6.58
Japan = 0.34 (5.2%)
6.Capcom: Units shipped (April 2012 - March 2020)
Package Total (millions of units sold)
1.PlayStation 41.65
PS3+PS4 40.00
PSP+PSV 1.55
PS2 0.1
2.Nintendo 23.00
NDS+3DS 17.50
Wii+U+NSW 5.50
3.Xbox 13.45
4.PC 2.35
You have selected 3 publishers that were most aligned to Sony's Western strategy in Q1 and
Capcom who are seeing growth on the Switch as we speak,
Rise has surpassed
3.5 million in Japan alone, and the game will end up outselling the PS4 version of
World WW.
Stories 2 is looking like it will surpass
3 million units lifetime greatly outperforming the original.
Konami is about to have a game that will surpass
4 million shipped in Japan in 2021 and likely end up over
5 million in Japan lifetime surpassing any single Monster Hunter game...
For
Koei Tecmo they had their biggest hit WW on the Switch recently;
Age of Calamity passed
3.5 million and is likely already close or over
4 million, they have gone full multiplat strategy for some of their other big IPs like
Samurai Warriors & Dynasty Warriors, just revealed a new musou game that will be exclusive to the Switch.
Marvelous are on their way to have two titles that surpass
1 million on the Switch alone in the shape of
Olive Town &
Sakuna with
Rune Factory 5 getting a Western launch next year.
No More Heroes 3 and more unrevealed game for the fall will lead them to their best year yet.
And finally we have a bunch of smaller publishers like
Imagineer, Nippon Ichi, Neos having record results. I mean we have a good idea how much PS ecosystem is declining YoY(over 60%) while Switch is set to see growth in 2021 heading into it's software peak next year.
Famitsu Top 100 PS Ecosystem 2014-2020
PS3 Software 2014 -
5.733.625
PSV Software 2014 -
3.506.996
PS4 Software 2014 -
1.958.725
TOTAL:
11.199.346
PS3 Software 2015 -
2.993.064
PSV Software 2015 -
3.443.471
PS4 Software 2015 -
3.945.641
TOTAL:
10.382.176
PS3 Software 2016 -
1.091.532
PSV Software 2016 -
3.512.146
PS4 Software 2016 -
7.328.612
TOTAL:
11.932.290
PS3 Software 2017 -
21.226
PSV Software 2017 -
1.101.089
PS4 Software 2017 -
8.360.977
TOTAL:
9.483.292
PSV Software 2018 -
582.890
PS4 Software 2018 -
8.645.408
TOTAL:
9.228.298
PSV Software 2019 -
105.418
PS4 Software 2019 -
7.181.200
TOTAL:
7.286.618
PS4 Software 2020 -
5.434.093
PS5 Software 2020 -
61.908
TOTAL:
5.496.001
Famitsu Top 100 Nintendo Ecosystem 2014-2020
3DS Software 2015 -
15.386.246
WIIU Software 2015 -
3.088.447
TOTAL:
18.474.693
3DS Software 2016 -
13.054.519
WIIU Software 2016 -
1.811.445
TOTAL:
14.865.964
3DS Software 2017 -
11.421.028
WIIU Software 2017 -
429.155
NSW Software 2017 -
6.758.666
TOTAL:
18.608.849
3DS Software 2018 -
1.783.274
NSW Software 2018 -
12.720.950
TOTAL:
14.504.224
3DS Software 2019 -
213.847
NSW Software 2019 -
14.847.793
TOTAL:
15.061.640
3DS Software 2020 -
52.499
NSW Software 2020 -
20.686.204
TOTAL:
20.738.703
Considering Switch Software will be 2020 < 2021 < 2022 we are looking at around
30 million physical software just among the Top 100 games on the Switch next year(
Splatoon 3, Arceus, Breath of the Wild sequel should be around 1/3 of this); that would mean that the Japanese market has been growing for 4 years in a row and record sales for
Nintendo, Pokemon Co, Konami, Capcom, Koei Tecmo, Marvelous and a bunch of other smaller developers aligned to the Switch.
This year third party physical sales have already surpassed
6.5 million sales just across the Top 50 best selling third party games with close to 90% being on the Switch; there is a ton of third party games still to launch in 2021 with
SMT V & Power Prokun Pocket R being the highest profile ones at this time on the Switch, while
Tales of Arise &
Lost Judgement being the high profile ones on the PS4/PS5.