"We heard j'ya."
Back when Microsoft thought Uncharted 4 was a holiday title last generation.. Microsoft took the wallets out and wrote a check for Tomb Raider exclusivity. I expect a big holiday Game Pass announcement. A big 3rd party title for that season.
Realistically speaking, what game could they net? We know Harry Potter's off the table; there's at least a decent chance Gotham Knights is off the table, as well. They already have Plague Tale: Innocence, but that doesn't make up for RedFall & Starfield getting delayed.
Other than COD (which we also know is off the table for this year due to Sony comarketing contract), there isn't any other major release coming. Maybe they can net Dead Space Remake for GamePass but that doesn't come until 2023. If they can get an exclusive demo for GamePass tho
maybe that kind of brings them something if it can be done for October?
Looking like it's down to Forza (again) and whatever content they add to Deathloop. And Halo Infinite Season 3 (if that's anything like Season 2 tho, it won't do much at all).