So the Judge in the FTC case says it's the harm to consumers, not to Sony that matters.
So who's to say allowing Sony to continue in a dominant position isn't harmful to consumers? I mean ask yourself, how much do you think your games would be if MS decided to quit tomorrow instead of fighting on?
It's an interesting proposition. In light of all the info found in this case in the last few weeks, neither big dog is out for consumers, just for themselves. Putting Nintendo aside for a minute, since they seem to target more of a mobile audience and one less focused on cutting edge consoles, Forcing a smaller company (in terms of game sales) to remain smaller, is that in the best interests of gamers?
I'm not saying it is or it isn't, it's an interesting quandary. And who's to say government is in the best position to decide what will happen 10 years from now? Lets check out some scenarios:
Scenario 1: MS is denied acquisition of Activision, decides that it want's to refocus it's energy into software development and who knows what else. They decide not to release a new Xbox in 2027. Just for fun lets say Nintendo only releases a lower power switch 2.
This leaves Sony in a power position over the traditional console market. Revenue sharing from developers goes up to 40% and games are now $99. PS Plus is doubled in price, or dropped completely. PS6 launches for $599.
Scenario 2: MS is allowed acquisition of Activision, continues on the good fight. But it doesn't stop there. They buy square, they buy Sega, they buy UBISoft, EA, and squeeze Sony out little by little. Down the road, games are increased to $119, gamepass is $30, and Series Z is $699.
A robot stands in your house to make sure you never turn off your xbox. (ok maybe not that last point)
Scenario 3. MS is allowed acquisition of Activision and it gives them enough juice to continue, they trade blows back and forth with Sony for the console crown for many years to come. Gamers win as price competition continues.
Of course there is a middle ground and all other kinds of things that could come into play like a legit next gen Nintendo console. But maybe you get a hint at what I am getting at - the FTC doesn't really know what will happen, we don't know what will happen.
We aren't sure what is best for consumers.....how can this judge be?