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[NightmareFarm]

No need to take this thread too seriously just give a rough prediction based on gut feeling or whatever.

IMO:

PS5 - Around 140M units.

Xbox Series - Around 70M units.

Switch sales - Around 170M units.

 

[Bonfires Down]

PS5 - 120M
Xbox - 90M
Switch - 150M

 

[OceanGaming]

PSPSPS - 130 to 150 M
XKEKXS - 80 to 100 M
BINGTENDO - =>140 M

 

[Banjo64]

Switch 145-155
PS5 115-125
Series 80-85

 

[TGO]

PS5 - 115mil
XBX - 65mil
Switch - irrelevant as it's an 8th generation console and that generation has ended.
Switch 2 I reckon will do similar numbers though.

 

[drganon]

Ps5-100-120
Switch-140-150
Xbox-70-80

 

[Kilau]

 

[SLB1904]

Ps5 120
Xbox 50
Switch 135

 

[Heisenberg007]

PS5 = ~140 million
Switch = ~150 million
Xbox = ~60 million

 

[Rockman33]

Playstation - 110
Xbox - 85

 

[feynoob]

PS5= 110m-130m
Xbox=70m. 80m-90m if Activision deal is approved.
Switch= 140m.

 

[Ev1L AuRoN]

Here is my estimates.

PS5 110M
XBX 90M (With a 60/40 cut in favor of the Series S)
NSW 140M (160M If Nintendo don't launch a successor in 2024)

I think Microsoft will grow market share this gen. I mean, after spending all that billions on acquisitions and the game pass, anything other than that would be a catastrophic failure.

 

[Robb]

Ps5: 110M
XBSX/S: 70M
Switch: 140M

 

[Roufianos]

PS5 - 105m
Xbox Series - 70m
Switch - 150m

I'd expect Xbox Series to eat into Sony's sales (to an extent) compared to last-gen.

 

[Ronin_7]

PlayStation 5 - 137M
Series - 75M
Switch - 145M

PlayStation 6/Xbox 8K - Late 2029.
Switch 2 - Late 2024

 

[Coulomb_Barrier]

PS5 - 135
XBS - 55
Switch - 135

 

[NightmareFarm]

I'm surprised no one thinks the switch will outsell the PS2. The most recent sales figure in November 2022 had it at 117M. Consoles tend to sell a lot at christmas so it's probably already over the 120M mark and it's got about 2-3 years left in the tank assuming the Switch 2 comes out late 2023 at the earliest(but more likely 2024). Compare this to the PS2 which had 105M units in 2006. Then on top of that consoles sell most late in their life cycle.

The switch could not only outsell the PS2 but possibly reach the 200M mark IMO.

 

[Neofire]

PS5- 115M to 135M
XB(XS)- 60M to 80M
Switch- 115M to 140M

 

[Kokoloko85]

PS5 - 110-135m
Xbox - 60-70m
Switch - 140-150m

 

[ShadyAcshuns]

PS5 - 120M
Xbox - 90M
Switch - 150M

This looks about right to me.

 

[Three]

I don't think they will break the ceiling so I'm going to go with a slightly more conservative

PS5 - 85
XBOX - 85
SWITCH - 130

But it depends entirely on successors/revisions

 

[onnextflix5]

ps5 120m
Xbox 70 m
Switch 150 m

Still a lot of life left in consoles, if priced correctly, with good games.

 

[Go_Ly_Dow]

PS5 - whatever the final PS4 sales came in at and minus 5-10%
Xbox - whatever the final Xbox One(S) sales came in at and plus 5-10%
Switch - 135-150mil

 

[NightmareFarm]

I don't think they will break the ceiling so I'm going to go with a slightly more conservative

PS5 - 85
XBOX - 85
SWITCH - 130

But it depends entirely on successors/revisions

Switch is already at like 120M dude. And it's still got a few years left even if the Switch 2 comes out later this year. PS5 is also following the same trajectory as the PS4 which is at like 115-120M in sales atm. To each our own I suppose.

 

[analog_future]

I think all consoles will be quite successful.

PS5 - 115m
XSX|XSS - 90m
Switch - 135m

Xbox going from ~50mil lifetime sales with Xbox One to nearly twice that with Series consoles would be a real success story, as is of course Nintendo going from dead in the water with the Wii U to the absolute juggernaut that is the Switch.

I'm surprised to see so many here believing the PS5 is going to surpass the PS4 in sales. I don't think that's going to happen.

 

[Three]

Switch is already at like 120M dude. And it's still got a few years left even if the Switch 2 comes out later this year. PS5 is also following the same trajectory as the PS4 which is at like 115-120M in sales atm. To each our own I suppose.

Yeah, you're right I've probably low balled them all by a lot. I know it's pretty conservative. I think hardware sales will decline this year and the next. Could be completely wrong though. For Nintendo it depends on if they release a Switch 2 soon or if it's some revision which we still count as Switch. If revisions for them get released I'm sure they will all get boosted sales.

 

[nial]

PS5= 110m-130m
Xbox=70m. 80m-90m if Activision deal is approved.
Switch= 140m.

 

[Art The Clown]

I think Switch will sell a lot this year with the new Zelda game coming out and will be untouched in the long run.

 

[NightmareFarm]

I think all consoles will be quite successful.

PS5 - 115m
XSX|XSS - 90m
Switch - 135m

I'm surprised to see so many here believing the PS5 is going to surpass the PS4 in sales. I don't think that's going to happen.

It could go either way. Keep in mind the pandemic has gotten more people into gaming. Also world population is increasing.

 

[Heisenberg007]

I think all consoles will be quite successful.

PS5 - 115m
XSX|XSS - 90m
Switch - 135m

I'm surprised to see so many here believing the PS5 is going to surpass the PS4 in sales. I don't think that's going to happen.

Because (1) PS5 has higher demand than PS4, (2) is expected to pace ahead of PS4 by next year, (3) this is expected to be a longer generation, and (4) almost all analysts project that PS5 will outsell PS4.

 

[analog_future]

Because (1) PS5 has higher demand than PS4, (2) is expected to pace ahead of PS4 by next year, (3) this is expected to be a longer generation, and (4) almost all analysts project that PS5 will outsell PS4.

I don't think any of what you're saying is true/quantifiable.

Do all analysts project that the Series consoles will sell a measly 60mil units like you shared in your prediction?

 

[Heisenberg007]

I don't think any of what you're saying is true/quantifiable.

Do all analysts project that the Series consoles will sell a measly 60mil units like you shared in your prediction?

You were talking about the possibility of PS5 outselling PS4, which is what I responded to.

Also, point #2, #3, and #4 are quantifiable.

 

[Deleted member 471617]

PlayStation 5 - 120m
Xbox Series X/S - 90m
Switch - 160m

 

[IDKFA]

PS5 - 180m
Xbox Series S/X - 90M
Switch - 140M

 

[Celine]

NSW: 150M-160M
PS5: less than PS4 (<117M)
XBS: more than XBO (>55M)

Per generation of TV consoles:
PS2+XB: ~179M
PS3+XB360: ~172M
PS4+XBO: ~172M
PS5+XBS: ?

For anyone than needs help to visualize at what point Switch is (or PS5 but PS5 is still "young") here a graph:

Note: That the PS4 and PSP mix up apples with oranges because it's mixing shipments (to retailers) with production shipments (out from the factories) which is why their tallies are a few millions higher than the total sell-in up that point.

 

[prinz_valium]

PS5 85 - 115m
Switch 135 - 155m
XBS 70 - 100m

 

[DenchDeckard]

PS5 120 Mill
Xbox series 85 Mill
Switch 150 Mill

 

[sandbood]

Switch - 165M
PS5 - 120M
XBS - 80M

 

[Woopah]

I'm surprised no one thinks the switch will outsell the PS2. The most recent sales figure in November 2022 had it at 117M. Consoles tend to sell a lot at christmas so it's probably already over the 120M mark and it's got about 2-3 years left in the tank assuming the Switch 2 comes out late 2023 at the earliest(but more likely 2024). Compare this to the PS2 which had 105M units in 2006. Then on top of that consoles sell most late in their life cycle.

The switch could not only outsell the PS2 but possibly reach the 200M mark IMO.

PS2 had very very long legs due to it being sold at a very low price while the PS3 had a very high price. I don't see Switch having the same type of legs, since I don't see Nintendo cutting the price as low as past systems, and I don't think the price gap between it and Switch 2 will be as high as between PS2 and PS3.

 

[TLZ]

possibly reach the 200M mark IMO

That is extreme. The PS2 sold more because it had price cuts later. I don't think the Switch will ever go that low. And I don't think a Nintendo console ever sold much higher later in its life cycle.

 

[nightmare-slain]

Switch 140M
PS5 120-130M
Series X - 70-80M.

 

[Unknown?]

I'm surprised no one thinks the switch will outsell the PS2. The most recent sales figure in November 2022 had it at 117M. Consoles tend to sell a lot at christmas so it's probably already over the 120M mark and it's got about 2-3 years left in the tank assuming the Switch 2 comes out late 2023 at the earliest(but more likely 2024). Compare this to the PS2 which had 105M units in 2006. Then on top of that consoles sell most late in their life cycle.

The switch could not only outsell the PS2 but possibly reach the 200M mark IMO.

Only if it gets a pricecut IMO. It will probably tank as soon as the next console comes out it's already in a downward trend despite still selling strong ala PS4 in 2019.

 

[El Pistolero]

PS5 = 120 to 130 millions
Switch = 140 to 150 millions
XSX and XSS = 80 to 90 millions

 

[Insane Metal]

PS5 = 114M
XBXS = 85M
NSW = 153M

 

[SpokkX]

PS5 110M
Switch 140M
XB Series 85M

 

[TuFaN]

PS5 -> 110M
XB X/S -> 65M
Switch -> 133M

 

[NightmareFarm]

PS2 had very very long legs due to it being sold at a very low price while the PS3 had a very high price. I don't see Switch having the same type of legs, since I don't see Nintendo cutting the price as low as past systems, and I don't think the price gap between it and Switch 2 will be as high as between PS2 and PS3.

The switch will have a price drop around the time the switch 2 comes out.

 

[Henry Panic]

Too early, wait till end of this year. Production is only starting to improve for the 8k consoles*

 

[NightmareFarm]

Only if it gets a pricecut IMO. It will probably tank as soon as the next console comes out it's already in a downward trend despite still selling strong ala PS4 in 2019.

It's not going to tank at all when the Switch 2(SW2 for short) comes out. Consoles don't die overnight when their successor come out. In the next few years the switch can easily break the 155M mark the PS2 is at. The PS2 was at about 110M when the PS3 came out in 2006, the Switch is currently at 120M and the SW2 hasn't even been revealed yet.

 

[Unknown?]

It's not going to tank at all when the Switch 2(SW2 for short) comes out. Consoles don't die overnight when their successor come out. In the next few years the switch can easily break the 155M mark the PS2 is at. The PS2 was at about 110M when the PS3 came out in 2006, the Switch is currently at 120M and the SW2 hasn't even been revealed yet.

It does if it doesn't get a price cut. PS2 kept selling because it eventually got down to $99. Look at PS3, PS4, and X1. PS3 never got below $219. PS4 tanked because it's still $299 msrp and the Pro is still $399. If the Switch 2 is $349 and the regular one is still $299 it absolutely will tank, especially if backwards compatible.