I know this wasn't the actual OP question, but here's my prediction of the state of the industry and the 3 main companies Nintendo, Sony, and MS...
Nintendo
- They stay on track with their focus on unifying their output with a Switch successor in 2023-24. Backwards compatible with Switch. Mobile technology progresses at a faster rate than desktop class and it is a rather powerful unit, around PS5, maybe a little less capable... But by 2027 a revision comes out that is easily in that class of machines. Developers also have more modern tools and experience so the field becomes even closer as the tech race starts to result in that a console's power being so much... that even against the next Xbox and against the PS6, you will probably need 8K and be pixel counting to see the difference in any games across most platforms. Diminishing returns on power. They continue with fun, yet gimmicky add ons and other related products similar to Labo or MK Circuit... Focused on creativity. They could capture lightning in a bottle with one of these products or find limited success or both. Also, Nintendo's Theme Parks are a success with Universal, they finally start using their IPs in other media, and they are finally transitioning into more a a Japanese Disney type company.
Sony
- They seem the most predictable. PS6 follows the PS5 Pro after 3 years in 2027. Maybe 2028 but let's say 27 for the sake of this. Futuristic looking console, amazing tech, Sony games continue the path of high production values and cinematic experiences. I feel their market stays solid, but stagnant... They will be the only company involved with video games still using the traditional business model that has beared them success time and time again... But the road is narrowing.
MS
- Xbox becomes a games distribution and streaming platform with dedicated high end hardware on par with Sony's offerings, yet also available via an app on most other devices that can support it. Cloud streaming. I believe we will see strong market share and the dominant player in the industry due to an incredible deal with the Netflix of gaming type service that is GamePass. 1000s of games across multiple generations available for a subscription fee. Maybe even a subsidized console (similar to smartphones) in some markets to create more adoption. Just a bigger net. Their output will be if varying quality, with more developer acquisitions to beef up GamePass, and the greater risk taking by developers through the benefit of GamePass should lead to a diverse lineup.. yet they will probably continue to not compete very well with Sony in high end cinematic single player experiences... Yet overall that ends up being a niche market anyways.
Something like that seems likely to me. I'll check back in 2027 lol.