PS4 took a few days to sell out.
His bet is too obvious and safe.
NuhThat's pillow talk for investors
Sony is carrying over a 100 million + install base with the average games attach rate at 9+ games per console. I doubt these people will just give up the large libraries they have invested into to go into cloud gaming. I seriously doubt that. People are still attracted to physical hardware and the sales numbers for both PS and Xbox will show that.Yes, it will, but it probably won’t sell as many as the Ps4 overall. Neither will the Series X/S sell as many as the One. A big change is coming to video gaming. Maybe not in the next two or three years, but cloud streaming is going to have a huge impact on console sales.
One good thing about him is that he knows very well how to invest in developers.Yeah he didn't invest in Insomniac or anything...
People forget that Microsoft last gen really really dropped the ball for a more expensive and forced Kinect always online console. This time they are doing a great job leading to launch with Gamepass. It’s not going to be easy for Sony for sure.
Yep it will have a tougher time in the US this time around against Xbox, but you’re right about the brand being more global.This forgets that the Xbox is mostly an American and somewhat a UK brand, while Playstation is global. Even if somehow it sold equally with the PS5 in those two territories, Playstation dominates the rest of the planet. There is no chance.
PlayStations studios keep delivering every year, however back in 2015-2018 there was great momentum and hype. They had the hype announcements and now they have not really done anything major to refocus all the attention on themselves.
In the US the PS4 sold 1 million within the first 24 hours after launch (including preorders), which was the most successful launch of a console until that point.
I could see the PS5 easily doubling that number in the US, meaning there‘s gonna be at least 2 million sold PS5s within the first 24 hours in the US. It‘s probably going to sell similarly when it launches in Europe the week after. Then there‘s Japan and the rest of the world… I expect there to be at least 5 million sold PS5s worldwide by the end of November. Since all of the launch shipments will be sold out in November, I expect December to be quite sparse as far as stock is concerned; maybe Sony manages to get another 2 million consoles into the hands of consumers in that month, which means a worldwide sell-through of ~7 million units by the end of the year.
As for next year, if I remember correctly, the PS4 kept selling around 1 million units worldwide per month for most of its first year, despite the lack of games. I expect that the PS5, with its much stronger lineup, will easily surpass that number, though maybe not quite as much as the launch numbers. So let‘s say it sells 1.5 million per month in the first quarter of 2021 (4th quarter of the fiscal year 2020). That would leave us with ~11.5 million sold PS5s by the end of March (in that case I expect a press release from Sony in early March or so when they reach 10 million).
I think that 1.5 million units per month is a realistic prospect for the rest of 2021 (at least until the holidays), which means Sony would sell another ~10.5 million between April and October, leaving them with an install base of ~22 million by the end of October 2021, making the PS5 the fastest selling console ever (a spot previously held by the PS4, I believe).
If the PS5 keeps selling at this rate after 2021 (and possibly more once the price drops), then I expect it to surpass 100 million units within the first five years. However, if the first five years are such a blow-out, then sales will probably decline afterward more quickly than usual for Sony consoles. Overall I expect the PS5 to end up at somewhere between 140 and 150 million units, surpassing the PS4 by 10 to 20 million.
I think they will have a pro version, that should help sales....If all those games announced for 2021 actually release next year, then the PS5’s first year would be on par with the best years we saw on PS4. And that doesn’t even take into account if there’s more stuff to be announced for 2021, or if PSVR 2 comes out next year. Unlike with its predecessor, the PS5’s first year should live up to the hype.
Here’s my prediction regarding PS5 sales in its first year (and beyond), from another thread: