The industry has shifted to a much more balanced release calendar over the last generation with Sony leading that charge. I don't think they have outright announced it, but they clearly shifted their big games into the first part of the year; 2020 being the exception, because they had to have exclusives at launch (cough cough Microsoft cough). In the last 3 years the only 1st party game to release past October was death stranding, which they published but is not a Sony owned studio. Going from memory this pattern changed going back to early PS4 years.I keep reading this; has Sony actually said this?
A generation ago all their big games released in the fall, along with everyone else's, but the Call of Duty effect was an issue with one big game cutting into everyone's sales and just too many releases in the fall in general. Pretty sure Sony and a few other big publishers saw this hurting sales.
In Sony's case there is additional incentive as it doesn't make sense for them to compete with big money making publishing partners unnecessarily. They do not have the Nintendo model, where sales are predominantly Nintendo only IP on their platform. Sony have set up their business to more equally promote both their own games and their third party publishing partners.
Based on that I'd be very surprised to see HFW release past October.